Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 105.553701 119.990030 135.940350 154.914745 176.928432 201.731082 231.886620
2025-12-14 83.723760 102.182696 124.276495 152.835392 189.012412 233.628031 293.301779
2025-12-21 72.508950 93.078291 119.150585 154.954539 203.359461 267.261801 359.232050
2025-12-28 66.246017 88.628316 118.370853 161.331234 222.697318 308.579923 440.332804
2026-01-04 60.342767 83.578210 115.708687 164.159647 236.729231 343.592525 517.047893
2026-01-11 54.469283 77.709157 110.962230 163.009870 244.264616 369.415119 583.060687
2026-01-18 50.963045 74.754838 109.911295 166.922114 259.532055 408.510529 675.703642
2026-01-25 47.010271 70.657947 106.606408 166.763493 268.020176 437.428086 755.260577
2026-02-01 44.056301 67.758399 104.770132 168.591696 279.748130 472.924622 851.682235
2026-02-08 40.375376 63.341652 100.047788 165.017802 281.615583 491.173463 918.532927
2026-02-15 38.103473 60.982510 98.416995 166.456828 292.358461 526.599021 1024.208887
2026-02-22 35.564428 57.947338 95.351253 164.987062 297.483681 551.936931 1113.304857
2026-03-01 32.098930 53.296366 89.517735 158.693199 294.292843 563.745051 1183.100623
2026-03-08 29.647995 50.212355 86.187682 156.776583 299.617438 594.071376 1301.737864
2026-03-15 28.064466 48.497486 85.109954 158.969833 313.419797 644.207138 1477.342486
2026-03-22 27.214346 48.013232 86.214809 165.534323 337.200831 719.989227 1733.524576
2026-03-29 25.975495 46.684074 85.572774 168.446081 353.490999 781.631084 1968.940957
2026-04-05 24.379623 44.531923 83.120083 167.262420 360.423605 822.356034 2158.089759
2026-04-12 23.492650 43.665440 83.111608 171.290094 379.926804 897.295890 2464.320946
2026-04-19 22.250418 41.989565 81.302698 171.126786 389.416349 948.506031 2714.052018
2026-04-26 21.307283 40.832344 80.449672 173.009044 404.196119 1016.408638 3035.624012
2026-05-03 19.938982 38.696713 77.346380 169.329551 404.387301 1044.521746 3234.991511
2026-05-10 19.124299 37.644760 76.468809 170.811061 418.215778 1113.812455 3596.935665